The world is very different now. For man holds in his mortal hands the power to abolish all forms of human poverty and all forms of human life. --John F. Kennedy
In this book I reveal a vision of the future that will keep you up at night. Researchers all over the world are racing to develop technologies using Artificial Intelligence (AI). Some in the scientific community are engaged in the study and development of superintelligence. If they are successful in that endeavor, the outcome would be that AI would become smarter than their creators. We have all seen sci-fi movies that imagine hellish, apocalyptic futures where AI destroys our world. What if it comes on gradually-a drumbeat growing louder every day, until one day the defining roar overtakes everything? What if that day is not very far away?
Join me as I started searching for keys about who and what is behind research and development of these technologies. Was it a cabal, which is a secret political clique or faction? Was it the technocrats, a member of a powerful technical elite or someone who advocates the supremacy of technical experts? Was it the plutocracy, formally known as government by the wealthy? Or was it our government?
Are those around the world who develop technologies that will dramatically affect our destinies truly concerned about life satisfaction, quality of life, or whatever else happiness is termed? Should we simply internalize a life of uncontrolled artificial intelligence and bend to prophet-like futurists' scenarios? Critically, a plausible risk is that unenhanced humans could become superfluous as soon as the 2050s.
Show moreThe world is very different now. For man holds in his mortal hands the power to abolish all forms of human poverty and all forms of human life. --John F. Kennedy
In this book I reveal a vision of the future that will keep you up at night. Researchers all over the world are racing to develop technologies using Artificial Intelligence (AI). Some in the scientific community are engaged in the study and development of superintelligence. If they are successful in that endeavor, the outcome would be that AI would become smarter than their creators. We have all seen sci-fi movies that imagine hellish, apocalyptic futures where AI destroys our world. What if it comes on gradually-a drumbeat growing louder every day, until one day the defining roar overtakes everything? What if that day is not very far away?
Join me as I started searching for keys about who and what is behind research and development of these technologies. Was it a cabal, which is a secret political clique or faction? Was it the technocrats, a member of a powerful technical elite or someone who advocates the supremacy of technical experts? Was it the plutocracy, formally known as government by the wealthy? Or was it our government?
Are those around the world who develop technologies that will dramatically affect our destinies truly concerned about life satisfaction, quality of life, or whatever else happiness is termed? Should we simply internalize a life of uncontrolled artificial intelligence and bend to prophet-like futurists' scenarios? Critically, a plausible risk is that unenhanced humans could become superfluous as soon as the 2050s.
Show moreJames R. Simpson is Affiliate Professor and Senior Fellow, Thomas S. Foley Institute for Public Policy and Public Service, Washington State University, Professor Emeritus, University of Florida, and Professor Emeritus, Ryukoku University, in Japan. His specialty as an international economist includes training and a career as a scientist in techniques and technologies that fit in robotics and artificial intelligence. He has focused on long-term projections of technological change as part of living and working abroad and has engaged in extensive consulting with organizations such as The World Bank. Publications include over 375 articles, monographs and software, and nine books. One of those, that has many hallmarks of the topics in this book, "Is Today's Food Situation Good for Japan? Warning from an American Researcher," was awarded Best Book of the Year by the Japanese Agricultural Journalists Association.
"James Simpson has written a riveting, whirlwind tour through the
promise and danger of uncontrolled development of technology. From
genomics and nanotechnology to superintelligence and radical
humanoidization, the noted economist and Senior Fellow at the Foley
Institute writes lucidly about how AI and robotics are radically
changing how humans relate to each other and the world around us.
Simpson explains the intertwining roles of science, wealth, and
government leading to the frenzied race to technologize, and the
consequences that have not yet been fully considered. Calmly
assessing the risks and benefits of new technologies, the author
avoids doomsday theorizing and makes a major contribution in
suggesting the "precautionary principle" as a guide to future
development. AI Prevails is a sobering but measured exploration of
the scientific ambitions, dreams, and nightmares shaping our lives
in the future. The analysis is at once chilling and hopeful, a
must-read for anyone asking the fundamental question: What should
our future look like?" -Cornell W. Clayton, C.O. Johnson
Distinguished Professor of Political Science, and Director of the
Thomas S. Foley Institute for Public Service and Public Policy at
Washington State University
"It is true that life has become more comfortable with technology.
But, as Professor Simpson meticulously spells out, ultra-rapid
development of robots and artificial intelligence (AI) is a sign of
a new era, an uncharted zone for humans. Unlike authors that
specialize in the future, the author is careful to avoid doomsday
theorizing. Uniquely, he presents facts based on his economic and
scientific background in a way that makes an engaging and
hard-to-put-down read. Professor Simpson has an unparalleled
convincing case for a practical method to deal with research on
superintelligence and the specter of joblessness. That is the
European created internationally used legal procedure termed the
Precautionary Principle to protect humankind by seeking to
proactively regulate risks. Rightly, and with vigor, he argues
forcibly against the United States regulator's approach for
evidence of actual harm before regulating. Not only is that in
violation of international law, common sense tells us to avoid a
situation we will regret in the near future." -Masaru Yamada,
freelance journalist
"Simpson's portrayal of our planet's plausible future just a few
decades from now is a wake-up call for humanity. Moral, ethical,
theological, and political ramifications of artificial intelligence
must be addressed now in order to ensure a safe, fulfilling life
for our children and grandchildren. A fascinating depiction of
robotic and humanoid development that reads like science
fiction-and sure to engender lively discussion for your book club."
-Bernice Konkell, entrepreneur
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