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This book proposes a new way of understanding events throughout the world that are usually interpreted as democratization, rising authoritarianism, or revolution. Where the rule of law is weak and corruption pervasive, what may appear to be democratic or authoritarian breakthroughs are often just regular, predictable phases in longer-term cyclic dynamics - patronal politics. This is shown through in-depth narratives of the post-1991 political history of all post-Soviet polities that are not in the European Union. This book also includes chapters on czarist and Soviet history and on global patterns.
This book proposes a new way of understanding events throughout the world that are usually interpreted as democratization, rising authoritarianism, or revolution. Where the rule of law is weak and corruption pervasive, what may appear to be democratic or authoritarian breakthroughs are often just regular, predictable phases in longer-term cyclic dynamics - patronal politics. This is shown through in-depth narratives of the post-1991 political history of all post-Soviet polities that are not in the European Union. This book also includes chapters on czarist and Soviet history and on global patterns.
1. Introduction; 2. Patronal politics and the great power of expectations; 3. A patronal-politics reinterpretation of Eurasian history; 4. Constitutions, elections, and regime dynamics; 5. The emergence of networks and constitutions; 6. The building of Eurasia's great power pyramids; 7. Revolutions and other presidential ousters; 8. Non-revolution in post-Soviet presidential systems; 9. After revolution; 10. Patronal parliamentarism; 11. Explaining post-Soviet regime dynamics; 12. Patronal politics in global comparative perspective.
This book proposes a new way of understanding events throughout the world that are usually interpreted as democratization, rising authoritarianism, or revolution.
Henry E. Hale is Associate Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University, Washington DC. His previous work has won two awards from the American Political Science Association, the Leon D. Epstein Outstanding Book Award for Why Not Parties in Russia (Cambridge, 2006) and the Alexander L. George Article Award for 'Divided We Stand' (World Politics, 2005). His other publications include Foundations of Ethnic Politics (Cambridge, 2008), two edited volumes, and numerous articles in leading, peer-reviewed journals such as Comparative Political Studies, Comparative Politics, Perspectives on Politics, Europe-Asia Studies, and Post-Soviet Affairs. His research has been funded by the National Science Foundation, the Carnegie Corporation of New York, and the National Council for East European and Eurasian Research. In 2009–12, he served as director of the Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies (IERES) at George Washington University's Elliott School of International Affairs. He currently serves as editorial board chair of Demokratizatsiya: The Journal of Post-Soviet Democratization.
'Hale shows that the repeated outbreaks of democratization, as well
as the depressing tendency for authoritarianism to re-emerge, are
part of the same phenomenon - patronal politics. The realism of his
approach is bracing. The model is elegant. The empirical research
is rich and compelling. This book will reshape the research agenda
on politics in Eurasia, and much of the rest of the world as well.'
Paul D'Anieri, University of California, Riverside
'Fifteen successor states, the unrecognized para-states, more than
a hundred autonomous republics, sizable provinces, big cities
including Moscow - the former USSR offers a hugely rich if often
unseemly trove of cases for comparative political analysis. Henry
E. Hale knows them all firsthand. His theory of patronal politics
offers a surprisingly robust yet supple explanation for all this
empirical diversity. Perhaps the most important work of synthesis
in post-Sovietology, this book acquires special importance as
Ukraine, Russia, and other successor states enter the period of
wild turbulence.' Georgi Derluguian, New York University, Abu
Dhabi, and RANEPA (Moscow)
'Patronal Politics is one of the most important books ever written
on post-Soviet politics. This is a path-breaking study of the
impact of patronalism on relationships between formal and informal
institutions and on the evolution of political regimes. Henry E.
Hale masterfully combines original theoretical insights with
profound analysis of contentious issues of political changes in
Eurasia. A must-read for both students of comparative politics and
experts on the region.' Vladimir Gel'man, European University, St
Petersburg, and the University of Helsinki
'Patronal Politics explains more about the trajectories of
post-Soviet societies than anything else on the market. Treating
the Soviet collapse as a natural experiment in comparative
politics, Hale combines insights about hybrid regimes and the logic
of collective action (alongside his own extensive fieldwork) to
develop a groundbreaking theory of how expectations about power
become self-fulfilling prophecies. Vital for scholars, Patronal
Politics is so well written that it will also be useful in the
classroom.' Kimberly Marten, Columbia University
'Professor Hale's book is an important and distinguished
contribution to the critical literature on democratic
consolidation. His sophisticated analysis of the politics of
post-Soviet Eurasia provides readers with valuable insights into
the mainsprings of regime politics. His realistic approach to
post-Soviet politics promises to reshape the frameworks that
experts use to think about politics in this important part of the
world. This book promises to become a standard reference for
understanding the underlying logic and trajectories of post-Soviet
politics.' William Reno, Northwestern University
'Patronal Politics is an incredibly important contribution to the
social science literature on Eurasia, as well as the more general
comparative politics literature on regime types. Indeed, because of
the book's theoretical and empirical scope, it is likely to be one
of the most significant works yet on post-1991 Eurasian politics.
Hale's argument represents a bold challenge to the prevalent
political science literature on Eurasia, offering a novel
overarching theoretical framework to support his position.' Brian
Taylor, Syracuse University
'Henry Hale has written a masterwork … My admiration for Hale's
magnum opus is profound … Patronal Politics will serve as a
brilliant and sadly illuminating road map to the main trends of
post-Soviet politics.' Stephen E. Hanson, Slavic Review
'This excellent study will be of value to anyone interested in what
followed the Soviet collapse.' J. Arch Getty, American Historical
Review
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