In this ground-breaking work, philosopher and cognitive scientist Andy Clark turns a common view of the human mind upside down. In stark opposition to familiar models of human cognition, Surfing Uncertainty explores exciting new theories in neuroscience, psychology, and artificial intelligence that reveal minds like ours to be prediction machines-devices that have evolved to anticipate the incoming streams of sensory stimulation before they arrive. This keeps minds like ours a few steps ahead of the game, poised to respond rapidly and apparently effortlessly to threats and opportunities as (and sometimes even before) they arise. Creatures thus equipped are more than simple response machines. They are knowing agents deep in the business of understanding their worlds. Such agents cope with changing and uncertain worlds by combining sensory evidence with informed prediction. Remarkably, the learning that makes neural prediction possible can itself be accomplished by the ceaseless effort to make better and better predictions. A single fundamental trick (the trick of trying to predict your own sensory inputs) thus enables learning, empowers moment-by-moment perception, and installs a rich understanding of the surrounding world. Action itself now appears in a new and revealing light. For action is not so much a 'response to an input' as a neat and efficient way of selecting the next 'input'. As mobile embodied agents we are forever intervening, actively bringing about the very streams of sensory information that our brains are simultaneously trying to predict. This binds perception and action in a delicate dance, a virtuous circle in which neural circuits animate, and are animated by, the movements of our own bodies. Some of our actions, in turn, structure the physical, social, and technological worlds around us. This moves the goalposts by altering the very things we need to engage and predict. Surfing Uncertainty brings work on the predictive brain into full and satisfying contact with work on the embodied and culturally situated mind. What emerges is a bold new vision of what brains do that places circular causal flows and the active structuring of the environment, center-stage. In place of cognitive couch potatoes idly awaiting the next sensory inputs, Clark's journey reveals us as proactive predictavores, skilfully surfing the waves of sensory stimulation.
Show moreIn this ground-breaking work, philosopher and cognitive scientist Andy Clark turns a common view of the human mind upside down. In stark opposition to familiar models of human cognition, Surfing Uncertainty explores exciting new theories in neuroscience, psychology, and artificial intelligence that reveal minds like ours to be prediction machines-devices that have evolved to anticipate the incoming streams of sensory stimulation before they arrive. This keeps minds like ours a few steps ahead of the game, poised to respond rapidly and apparently effortlessly to threats and opportunities as (and sometimes even before) they arise. Creatures thus equipped are more than simple response machines. They are knowing agents deep in the business of understanding their worlds. Such agents cope with changing and uncertain worlds by combining sensory evidence with informed prediction. Remarkably, the learning that makes neural prediction possible can itself be accomplished by the ceaseless effort to make better and better predictions. A single fundamental trick (the trick of trying to predict your own sensory inputs) thus enables learning, empowers moment-by-moment perception, and installs a rich understanding of the surrounding world. Action itself now appears in a new and revealing light. For action is not so much a 'response to an input' as a neat and efficient way of selecting the next 'input'. As mobile embodied agents we are forever intervening, actively bringing about the very streams of sensory information that our brains are simultaneously trying to predict. This binds perception and action in a delicate dance, a virtuous circle in which neural circuits animate, and are animated by, the movements of our own bodies. Some of our actions, in turn, structure the physical, social, and technological worlds around us. This moves the goalposts by altering the very things we need to engage and predict. Surfing Uncertainty brings work on the predictive brain into full and satisfying contact with work on the embodied and culturally situated mind. What emerges is a bold new vision of what brains do that places circular causal flows and the active structuring of the environment, center-stage. In place of cognitive couch potatoes idly awaiting the next sensory inputs, Clark's journey reveals us as proactive predictavores, skilfully surfing the waves of sensory stimulation.
Show morePreface: Meat That Predicts
Acknowledgements
Introduction: Guessing Games
Part I: The Power of Prediction
Chapter 1: Prediction Machines
Chapter 2: Adjusting The Volume (Noise, Signal, Attention)
Chapter 3: The Imaginarium
Part II: Embodying Prediction
Chapter 4: Prediction for Action
Chapter 5: Sculpting the Flow
Chapter 6: Engaging the world
Chapter 7: Expecting Ourselves
Part III: Scaffolding Prediction
Chapter 8: The Lazy Predictive Brain
Chapter 9: Being Human
Chapter 10: The Future of Prediction
Appendix 1: Bare Bayes
Appendix 2: The Free Energy Formulation
References
Index
Andy Clark is Professor of Logic and Metaphysics in the School of
Philosophy, Psychology and Language Sciences, at Edinburgh
University in Scotland. He is the author of Being There (1997),
Mindware (2001), Natural-Born Cyborgs (2003), and Supersizing the
Mind (2008). His interests include artificial intelligence,
embodied cognition, robotics, and the predictive mind. In 2018 he
was profiled in The New
Yorker.
"Surfing Uncertainty will be a much discussed and seminal work in
the field of the philosophy of cognitive science." -- David D.
Hutto, Australasian Journal of Philosophy
"A stimulating read for anyone interested in the intersection of
neuroscience and philosophy of mind from a scientific perspective."
--Library Journal
"A wonderful book...Clark's Surfing Uncertainty will become an
essential point of departure for philosophers and cognitive
scientists trying to come to grips with the apparatus of predictive
processing." -- Metascience
"This is a truly important book. It is evocatively written and
reflects a truly gargantuan amount of work. It sets the stage for
future debates not only about the empirical merits of Bayesian
characterizations of human cognition, but also the broader
philosophical picture in which such Bayesian characterizations are
embedded. I predict that many of us will be reading, discussing,
and analysing this book in the months and years to come." --British
Journal
for the Philosophy of Science
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